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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 4751346 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | CORGII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 79% (907–246, n=1153) | 47% (13853–15337, n=29190) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 62% (395–247, n=642) |
| Consensus PnL | $141K | $13.4M | $10.6M | $4.5M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #68 |
| Sides with the consensus | 76% (63 of 83 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 89% (141 of 159 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Entertainment −5 pts, n=25 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 85% of 1242 at avg 78¢, ROI +5% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 12% of 81) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 9% (won 92% of 36) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 5% (won 49% of 68) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 56% (won 99% of 223) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 12% (won 69% of 150) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 33% (won 100% of 133) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 76% (won 97% of 943) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 2% (won 100% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 4751346 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | CORGII |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $9.3K | — | No $202K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.7K | — | Yes $274K | — |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $790 | — | Yes $14K | — |