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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 881112 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 33% (345–689, n=1034) | 45% (537–647, n=1184) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | $401K | $10.6M | $4.4M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #858 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 56% (47 of 84 open) | 73% (78 of 107 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | College Football −12 pts, n=11 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 800 at avg 39¢, ROI +11% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 50% (won 23% of 396) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 13% (won 64% of 102) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 16% (won 95% of 129) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 22% (won 100% of 173) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 881112 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | 00gringo00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $261 | Yes $4.1K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $842 | No $607 | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $390 | No $757 | — | — |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus No | No $2.2K | No $444K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $1.4K | Yes $39K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $1.2K | No $35K | — | — |