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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 881112 | beachboy4 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 33% (345–687, n=1032) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (537–652, n=1189) |
| Consensus PnL | $400K | $5.8M | $4.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #858 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 55% (46 of 84 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | no open consensus position | 85% (52 of 61 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | College Football −12 pts, n=11 | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 800 at avg 39¢, ROI +11% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 50% (won 23% of 396) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 0% | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 13% (won 64% of 102) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 16% (won 95% of 129) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 22% (won 100% of 173) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 0% | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 881112 | beachboy4 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus No | No $3.7K | — | — | No $292K |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $1.3K | — | — | Yes $34K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $996 | — | — | No $32K |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $449 | Yes $68 | — | — |