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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ABC12345654321 | RN1 | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (561–492, n=1053) | 48% (12930–14106, n=27036) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) |
| Consensus PnL | -$13K | $13.4M | $3.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #342 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 25% (30 of 122 open) | 33% (4 of 12 open) | no open consensus position | 86% (54 of 63 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 76% of 331 at avg 63¢, ROI −23% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 6% (won 53% of 19) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 52% of 86) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 33% (won 75% of 110) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 35% (won 99% of 116) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ABC12345654321 | RN1 | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $214 | — | — | Yes $274K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $424 | — | — | No $250K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $532 | — | — | Yes $170K |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $223 | — | — | No $112K |
| Eagles vs. Commanders same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $31K | — | Commanders $1.1M |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | No $57 | — | — | No $202K |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | Yes $83 | — | — | Yes $85K |