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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Alegrandebig | joseph00677 | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 95% (3825–185, n=4010) | 43% (10–13, n=23) | 50% (1248–1261, n=2509) | 48% (17938–19366, n=37304) |
| Consensus PnL | -$15K | $3.3M | $3.6M | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #860 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #47 | PM monthly #25 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 94% (30 of 32 open) | no open consensus position | 62% (8 of 13 open) | 54% (40 of 74 open) |
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| Weakest topic | Finance −2 pts, n=112 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 1369 at avg 94¢, ROI 0% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 2% (won 12% of 33) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 46% of 41) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 4% (won 62% of 50) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 91% (won 99% of 1245) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Alegrandebig | joseph00677 | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raiders vs. 49ers opposite sides · consensus 49ers | — | — | 49ers $90K | Raiders $10 |
| Cardinals vs. Seahawks: O/U 42.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $13K | Over $3.4K |
| Spread: Texans (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Texans | — | — | Texans $11K | Chargers $3.6K |
| Spread: Seahawks (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | — | — | Cardinals $2.1K | Seahawks $9.5K |
| Cardinals vs. Seahawks opposite sides · consensus Seahawks | — | — | Cardinals $5.5K | Seahawks $3.8K |
| Spread: Seahawks (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Seahawks | — | — | Cardinals $737 | Seahawks $6.8K |
| Spread: Seahawks (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Seahawks | — | — | Cardinals $85 | Seahawks $4.1K |
| Packers vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $57 | Over $2.4K |
| Packers vs. Patriots same side · consensus Packers | — | — | Packers $87K | Packers $4.3K |
| Texans vs. Chargers same side · consensus Texans | — | — | Texans $1.7K | Texans $11K |
| Spread: Texans (-4.5) same side · consensus Texans | — | — | Texans $2.7K | Texans $7.1K |