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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| AmericaFirst1 | CORGII | 00gringo00 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 65% (2087–1126, n=3213) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) |
| Consensus PnL | $2.4K | $4.5M | $3.5M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #750 | PM monthly #68 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (10 of 14 open) | 0% (0 of 4 open) | no open consensus position | 53% (62 of 117 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 98% of 1497 at avg 70¢, ROI +34% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 52% of 21) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 0% | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 96% of 244) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 0% | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 32% (won 97% of 482) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 50% (won 100% of 750) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 0% | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | AmericaFirst1 | CORGII | 00gringo00 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | Buccaneers $390 | — | — | Falcons $2.7K |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 50.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $415 | — | — | Over $1.3K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | Cardinals $28 | — | — | Cowboys $1.4K |
| Spread: Bills (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Bills $734 | — | — | Ravens $647 |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 52.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $51 | — | — | Under $7.2K |
| Spread: Bills (-10.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Bills $232 | — | — | Bills $4.0K |
| Spread: Bills (-17.5) same side · consensus Bills | Bills $55 | — | — | Bills $2.5K |
| Spread: Bills (-16.5) same side · consensus Bills | Bills $286 | — | — | Bills $93 |