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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Aurelius7Flaznorpjoseph00677primm
Record (consensus markets)47% (286–325, n=611)52% (7690–6979, n=14669)43% (10–13, n=23)50% (1246–1260, n=2506)
Consensus PnL-$8.4K$4.1M$3.3M$3.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #950PM monthly #9PM monthly #8PM monthly #49
Sides with the consensus73% (8 of 11 open)72% (156 of 216 open)no open consensus position54% (21 of 39 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicElections −2 pts, n=60Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won66% of 404 at avg 49¢, ROI +8%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢16% (won 16% of 64)29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 39% of 64)16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢62% (won 83% of 250)15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up6% (won 96% of 26)40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAurelius7Flaznorpjoseph00677primm
Jets vs. Chiefs
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $5.4K—Chiefs $48K
Cowboys vs. Colts
same side · consensus Cowboys
—Colts $63—Colts $5.7K
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 50.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $311——Under $1.6K
Rams vs. Commanders
same side · consensus Rams
—Commanders $320—Commanders $247