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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Aurelius7 | Flaznorp | ndb1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (286–325, n=611) | 52% (7690–6979, n=14669) | 63% (1095–632, n=1727) | 50% (1246–1260, n=2506) |
| Consensus PnL | -$8.4K | $4.1M | $4.6M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #950 | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #113 | PM monthly #49 |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (8 of 11 open) | 72% (156 of 216 open) | 72% (71 of 98 open) | 54% (21 of 39 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Elections −2 pts, n=60 | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 66% of 404 at avg 49¢, ROI +8% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 16% (won 16% of 64) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 39% of 64) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 41% (won 99% of 421) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 62% (won 83% of 250) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 49% (won 99% of 508) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 6% (won 96% of 26) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Aurelius7 | Flaznorp | ndb1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jets vs. Chiefs same side · consensus Chiefs | — | Chiefs $5.4K | — | Chiefs $48K |
| Cowboys vs. Colts same side · consensus Cowboys | — | Colts $63 | — | Colts $5.7K |
| Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 50.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $311 | — | — | Under $1.6K |
| Rams vs. Commanders same side · consensus Rams | — | Commanders $320 | — | Commanders $247 |