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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BTCGambler247CORGII00gringo00BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)71% (209–85, n=294)61% (393–247, n=640)75% (6–2, n=8)45% (537–652, n=1189)
Consensus PnL$392K$4.5M$3.5M$10.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #373PM monthly #68was PM monthly #19PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus76% (42 of 55 open)0% (0 of 1 open)no open consensus position85% (53 of 62 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +39 pts n=90, ROI +42%
  • NHL +41 pts n=12, ROI +46%
  • Geopolitics +20 pts n=68, ROI +20%
none with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won91% of 258 at avg 63¢, ROI +36%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 61% of 31)9% (won 92% of 36)0%10% (won 82% of 56)
Entries 30–50¢17% (won 89% of 44)56% (won 99% of 223)0%36% (won 98% of 198)
Entries 50–70¢30% (won 92% of 77)33% (won 100% of 133)100% (won 86% of 7)35% (won 99% of 191)
Entries 70¢ and up41% (won 100% of 106)2% (won 100% of 7)0%19% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBTCGambler247CORGII00gringo00BreakTheBank
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $275——No $250K
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $370——No $202K
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $58——Yes $85K
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $6.9K——Yes $270K
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.7K——Yes $22K
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $690——Yes $2.6K