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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Baddie | BreakTheBank | denizz | SineNooneEI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 97% (524–18, n=542) | 70% (207–87, n=294) | 88% (584–76, n=660) |
| Consensus PnL | $580 | $8.5M | $2.3M | $1.0M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #891 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #151 | PM monthly #110 |
| Sides with the consensus | 87% (104 of 119 open) | 80% (36 of 45 open) | 93% (25 of 27 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | Politics −2 pts, n=16 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | 64% of 245 at avg 59¢, ROI +7% | 92% of 511 at avg 55¢, ROI +33% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 11% (won 69% of 36) | 26% (won 6% of 63) | 5% (won 83% of 23) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 35% (won 97% of 116) | 12% (won 57% of 30) | 36% (won 88% of 182) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 37% (won 99% of 124) | 13% (won 66% of 32) | 44% (won 93% of 224) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 17% (won 100% of 56) | 49% (won 96% of 120) | 16% (won 99% of 82) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Baddie | BreakTheBank | denizz | SineNooneEI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $21 | No $15K | — | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $28 | No $2.4K | — | — |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $143 | Yes $19K | — | — |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $31 | Yes $2.7K | — | — |
| Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $4 | Yes $33 | — | — |
| Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $4 | Yes $23 | — | — |