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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Baddie | BreakTheBank | denizz | Wiretransferxyz | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 97% (441–15, n=456) | 70% (172–74, n=246) | 59% (296–204, n=500) |
| Consensus PnL | $582 | $8.4M | $2.3M | $899K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #891 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #151 | PM monthly #227 |
| Sides with the consensus | 87% (103 of 119 open) | 76% (35 of 46 open) | 90% (26 of 29 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | Politics −2 pts, n=16 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | 64% of 245 at avg 59¢, ROI +7% | 59% of 495 at avg 53¢, ROI +8% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 11% (won 69% of 36) | 26% (won 6% of 63) | 6% (won 17% of 29) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 35% (won 97% of 116) | 12% (won 57% of 30) | 35% (won 46% of 171) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 37% (won 99% of 124) | 13% (won 66% of 32) | 47% (won 66% of 233) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 17% (won 100% of 56) | 49% (won 96% of 120) | 13% (won 89% of 62) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Baddie | BreakTheBank | denizz | Wiretransferxyz |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $21 | No $15K | — | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $28 | No $2.4K | — | — |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $143 | Yes $19K | — | — |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $34 | Yes $2.9K | — | — |
| Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $4 | Yes $33 | — | — |
| Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $4 | Yes $23 | — | — |