← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Baddie | BreakTheBank | denizz | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 97% (441–15, n=456) | 70% (172–74, n=246) | 57% (293–219, n=512) |
| Consensus PnL | $582 | $8.4M | $2.3M | $4.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #885 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #154 | PM monthly #158 |
| Sides with the consensus | 87% (103 of 119 open) | 74% (35 of 47 open) | 89% (24 of 27 open) | 73% (65 of 89 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | Politics −2 pts, n=16 | NFL −8 pts, n=71 |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | 64% of 245 at avg 59¢, ROI +7% | 54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 11% (won 69% of 36) | 26% (won 6% of 63) | 19% (won 10% of 96) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 35% (won 97% of 116) | 12% (won 57% of 30) | 21% (won 35% of 105) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 37% (won 99% of 124) | 13% (won 66% of 32) | 27% (won 54% of 132) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 17% (won 100% of 56) | 49% (won 96% of 120) | 33% (won 91% of 163) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.