← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Baddie | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | SineNooneEI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 97% (524–18, n=542) | 58% (419–300, n=719) | 88% (584–76, n=660) |
| Consensus PnL | $580 | $8.5M | $4.7M | $1.0M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #891 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #157 | PM monthly #110 |
| Sides with the consensus | 87% (103 of 119 open) | 82% (36 of 44 open) | 70% (57 of 81 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −8 pts, n=71 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | 54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1% | 92% of 511 at avg 55¢, ROI +33% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 11% (won 69% of 36) | 19% (won 10% of 96) | 5% (won 83% of 23) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 35% (won 97% of 116) | 21% (won 35% of 105) | 36% (won 88% of 182) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 37% (won 99% of 124) | 27% (won 54% of 132) | 44% (won 93% of 224) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 17% (won 100% of 56) | 33% (won 91% of 163) | 16% (won 99% of 82) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.