← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BigRabbit | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 36% (384–685, n=1069) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $124K | $10.6M | $5.8M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #932 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 49% (41 of 83 open) | 85% (56 of 66 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | NFL −19 pts, n=57 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 34% of 1941 at avg 33¢, ROI +1% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 49% (won 12% of 944) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 23% (won 42% of 456) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 19% (won 58% of 378) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 8% (won 84% of 163) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BigRabbit | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1.0K | No $554K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $7.2K | Yes $36K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $4.3K | Yes $81K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $620 | Yes $21K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $506 | Yes $21K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Maine, and lose Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $500 | Yes $6.4K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus No | Yes $500 | Yes $535 | — | — |