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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BigRabbit | RN1 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 36% (384–685, n=1069) | 48% (12930–14106, n=27036) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) |
| Consensus PnL | $124K | $13.4M | $4.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #932 + pinned | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 53% (43 of 81 open) | 55% (6 of 11 open) | no open consensus position | 85% (52 of 61 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NFL −19 pts, n=57 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 34% of 1941 at avg 33¢, ROI +1% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 49% (won 12% of 944) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 23% (won 42% of 456) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 19% (won 58% of 378) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 8% (won 84% of 163) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BigRabbit | RN1 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1.3K | — | — | No $278K |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $7.2K | — | — | Yes $36K |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $3.8K | — | Commanders $188K |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $4.5K | — | — | Yes $81K |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $344 | — | — | Yes $21K |
| Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $439 | — | — | Yes $20K |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $310 | — | — | Yes $17K |