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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:beachboy4CORGIIsainttroplay00gringo000x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241primm
| BikesAreTheBikes | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 26% (608–1728, n=2336) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $60K | $13.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #541 + pinned | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 48% (61 of 126 open) | 55% (65 of 119 open) | 72% (73 of 101 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | Weather −5 pts, n=16 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 48% of 1353 at avg 35¢, ROI +9% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 57% (won 18% of 769) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 12% (won 66% of 157) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 85% of 151) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 97% of 276) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BikesAreTheBikes | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $7 | — | No $214K |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cowboys $12K | Cardinals $59K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cowboys $1.4K | Cardinals $3.0K |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $228 | Magic $51K |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $161 | Magic $13K |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $204 | — | Yes $4.7K |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $1.1K | — | No $747 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House same side · consensus No | Yes $101 | — | Yes $1.1K |