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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BillBenter2026 | RN1 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 65% (6135–3334, n=9469) | 48% (12778–13831, n=26609) | 56% (101–79, n=180) |
| Consensus PnL | $42K | $13.4M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #953 + pinned | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #373 |
| Sides with the consensus | 46% (6 of 13 open) | 61% (77 of 127 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| |
| Weakest topic | NBA ±0 pts, n=156 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 87% of 4544 at avg 72¢, ROI +15% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 23% of 204) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 7% (won 75% of 8) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 9% (won 45% of 399) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 26% (won 93% of 29) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 25% (won 84% of 1142) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 42% (won 96% of 47) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 62% (won 99% of 2799) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 24% (won 96% of 27) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BillBenter2026 | RN1 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $62 | No $24K | — |
| Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $3 | Yes $7.4K | — |
| Vikings vs. Lions opposite sides · consensus Lions | Lions $1.1K | Vikings $1.0K | — |
| Colts vs. Jaguars opposite sides · consensus Jaguars | Jaguars $464 | Colts $271 | — |
| Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $7 | No $70 | — |
| Will CD Castellón win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $9 | No $21 | — |
| Browns vs. Steelers same side · consensus Steelers | Steelers $29 | Steelers $3.2K | — |
| Will Burgos CF vs. CD Castellón end in a draw? same side · consensus No | Yes $1 | Yes $437 | — |