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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BillBenter2026 | RN1 | CORGII | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 65% (6139–3342, n=9481) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $42K | $13.4M | $4.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #953 + pinned | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 40% (6 of 15 open) | 64% (21 of 33 open) | 25% (1 of 4 open) | 73% (73 of 100 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | NBA ±0 pts, n=156 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 87% of 4544 at avg 72¢, ROI +15% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 23% of 204) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 9% (won 45% of 399) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 25% (won 84% of 1142) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 62% (won 99% of 2799) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BillBenter2026 | RN1 | CORGII | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs vs. Broncos opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | Broncos $691 | — | — | Chiefs $465K |
| Celtics vs. Magic opposite sides · consensus Celtics | Celtics $3.3K | — | — | Magic $24K |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $228 | — | Magic $51K |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $161 | — | Magic $13K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $8 | No $2.6K | — | — |