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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankBurkilota1ferrariChampions2026Flaznorp
Record (consensus markets)45% (576–717, n=1293)62% (674–417, n=1091)35% (3647–6650, n=10297)52% (6618–6146, n=12764)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$145K$3.0M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #259PM monthly #130PM monthly #10
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)29% (11 of 38 open)73% (11 of 15 open)75% (114 of 151 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Soccer +9 pts n=151, ROI +11%
  • Tennis +8 pts n=25, ROI +1%
  • NBA +8 pts n=28, ROI +11%
not computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Crypto −2 pts, n=189—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%20% of 609 at avg 16¢, ROI +8%—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)89% (won 15% of 540)—29% (won 11% of 465)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)11% (won 61% of 67)—16% (won 40% of 255)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)0% (won 50% of 2)—16% (won 62% of 260)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)0%—39% (won 94% of 637)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankBurkilota1ferrariChampions2026Flaznorp
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $409KYes $42——
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $3—No $2.4K
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $5—No $648
Big Bash League, Women: Melbourne Stars vs Sydney Sixers
opposite sides · consensus Sydney Sixers
——Sydney Sixers $206Melbourne Stars $28
Counter-Strike: QUINTESSÊNCIA vs tao toma (BO3) - CCT South America Group Stage
opposite sides · consensus tao toma
—QUINTESSÊNCIA $120—tao toma $2
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.2KUnder $13K
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $13KYes $2——
Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club?
same side · consensus No
—No $4—No $610
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $4—No $324
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs
same side · consensus FURIA
——BetBoom Team $214BetBoom Team $10
Victoria Women T20I: Uganda Women vs Namibia Women
same side · consensus Namibia Women
——Namibia Women $71Namibia Women $6