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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankElonSpamferrariChampions2026primm
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)41% (1533–2176, n=3709)43% (11439–14898, n=26337)49% (1224–1251, n=2475)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$28K$3.1M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #806was PM monthly #87PM monthly #52
Sides with the consensus89% (33 of 37 open)8% (1 of 12 open)72% (26 of 36 open)56% (5 of 9 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Crypto +4 pts n=79, ROI +5%
  • MLB +3 pts n=15, ROI −7%
not computed yet
Weakest topic—Geopolitics −24 pts, n=16——
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%48% of 3214 at avg 47¢, ROI +2%—99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)35% (won 9% of 1109)—5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)15% (won 39% of 472)—41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)23% (won 59% of 742)—49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)28% (won 92% of 891)—5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankElonSpamferrariChampions2026primm
Bengals vs. Falcons
opposite sides · consensus Bengals
——Falcons $3.3KBengals $36K
Spread: Bengals (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bengals
——Bengals $2.0KFalcons $1.4K
Raiders vs. 49ers
same side · consensus 49ers
——49ers $28K49ers $40K
Jets vs. Chiefs
same side · consensus Chiefs
——Chiefs $33KChiefs $21K
Lions vs. Dolphins
same side · consensus Lions
——Lions $31KLions $14K
Spread: Bengals (-3.5)
same side · consensus Bengals
——Falcons $514Falcons $7.9K