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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | Jesetrading | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (581–722, n=1303) | 52% (6565–6142, n=12707) | 74% (633–221, n=854) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.3M | $3.7M | $6.6K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #926 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 69% (211 of 305 open) | 67% (10 of 15 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 74% of 454 at avg 68¢, ROI +7% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 20% (won 15% of 92) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 8% (won 47% of 36) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 7% (won 88% of 32) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 65% (won 95% of 294) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | Jesetrading |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $37K | — | Yes $9.7K |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $22K | — | Yes $76 |