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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026FlaznorpJesetrading
Record (consensus markets)41% (616–869, n=1485)43% (11761–15331, n=27092)55% (13298–10666, n=23964)70% (727–313, n=1040)
Consensus PnL$8.4M-$9.4M$1.4M$6.7K
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #87PM monthly #14PM monthly #957
Sides with the consensus88% (29 of 33 open)63% (5 of 8 open)71% (92 of 130 open)63% (45 of 71 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%74% of 464 at avg 68¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 97% of 237)29% (won 11% of 403)20% (won 15% of 95)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)26% (won 100% of 1446)16% (won 38% of 228)8% (won 46% of 37)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)40% (won 100% of 2198)15% (won 62% of 214)7% (won 85% of 34)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)30% (won 100% of 1675)40% (won 94% of 553)64% (won 95% of 298)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026FlaznorpJesetrading
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $35K——Yes $9.7K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $148Yes $2.7K—
Hersonissos 3: Oleksii Krutykh vs Oskari Paldanius
opposite sides · consensus Oskari Paldanius
—Oleksii Krutykh $5Oskari Paldanius $2.8K—
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $26K——Yes $91
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KUnder $13K—
Hersonissos 3: Nikita Mashtakov vs Adrian Andreev
same side · consensus Adrian Andreev
—Adrian Andreev $10KAdrian Andreev $874—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Ugo Humbert
same side · consensus Ugo Humbert
—Ugo Humbert $7.1KUgo Humbert $591—