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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpRobbbS-Works
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)83% (2411–480, n=2891)75% (2546–856, n=3402)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$4.1M$98K$3.7M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #10was PM monthly #996PM monthly #73
Sides with the consensus89% (32 of 36 open)67% (103 of 153 open)81% (113 of 140 open)67% (2 of 3 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15College Football −23 pts, n=36Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%83% of 1863 at avg 78¢, ROI +7%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)7% (won 10% of 139)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 34% of 116)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)12% (won 68% of 220)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)75% (won 96% of 1388)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpRobbbS-Works
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $37No $1.2M
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $409K—No $450—
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $292K—Yes $1.0K—
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $76K—Yes $2.1K—
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus No
No $2.4K—No $177—