← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | ndb1 | whosay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (587–850, n=1437) | 52% (6603–6153, n=12756) | 63% (1014–591, n=1605) | 59% (1123–796, n=1919) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.6M | $3.7M | $4.8M | -$37K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #98 | PM monthly #887 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (29 of 33 open) | 68% (161 of 236 open) | 72% (63 of 87 open) | 50% (4 of 8 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | Tennis −3 pts, n=699 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 58% of 2076 at avg 60¢, ROI 0% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 11% (won 17% of 229) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 26% (won 36% of 541) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 28% (won 58% of 584) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 35% (won 88% of 722) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.