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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpprimmwhosay
Record (consensus markets)41% (587–850, n=1437)52% (6603–6153, n=12756)50% (1151–1158, n=2309)59% (1123–796, n=1919)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$3.7M$3.6M-$37K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #13PM monthly #47PM monthly #887
Sides with the consensus88% (29 of 33 open)68% (167 of 247 open)78% (7 of 9 open)50% (4 of 8 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—Tennis −3 pts, n=699
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%58% of 2076 at avg 60¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)5% (won 94% of 51)11% (won 17% of 229)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)41% (won 99% of 421)26% (won 36% of 541)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)49% (won 99% of 508)28% (won 58% of 584)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)5% (won 100% of 47)35% (won 88% of 722)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpprimmwhosay
Exact Score: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Hilal Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $141—Yes $776
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $333—Yes $162
Exact Score: Al Ahli Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Taawoun Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $172—Yes $267
CD Universidad de Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $152—Yes $202
Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee
same side · consensus Middle Tennessee
—Middle Tennessee $1.2KMiddle Tennessee $5.1K—
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
—Bianca Andreescu $4.3K—Bianca Andreescu $536