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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpquietparcel
Record (consensus markets)45% (571–700, n=1271)53% (5952–5311, n=11263)44% (6372–8236, n=14608)
Consensus PnL$9.4M$3.3M$46K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #22PM monthly #256
Sides with the consensus52% (13 of 25 open)67% (205 of 307 open)85% (276 of 323 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MMA +2 pts n=16, ROI +2%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22Mentions −4 pts, n=646
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%39% of 5625 at avg 41¢, ROI −2%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)58% (won 1% of 3260)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)2% (won 39% of 118)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)4% (won 60% of 198)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)36% (won 96% of 2049)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpquietparcel
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $218KPacers $4.6K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
Grizzlies $357Pacers $1.2K—