← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | quietparcel | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4518–3290, n=7808) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 52% (6492–5997, n=12489) | 41% (6767–9719, n=16486) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $7.9M | $3.3M | -$109K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #67 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #260 |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (13 of 19 open) | 79% (27 of 34 open) | 72% (170 of 235 open) | 79% (145 of 184 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | Mentions −4 pts, n=646 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 39% of 5625 at avg 41¢, ROI −2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 58% (won 1% of 3260) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 2% (won 39% of 118) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 4% (won 60% of 198) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 36% (won 96% of 2049) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | quietparcel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.4K | Yes $78K | — | — |
| Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $945 | — | — | No $55 |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | No $56 | No $90K | — | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys same side · consensus Tommy Paul | Tommy Paul $68K | — | Tommy Paul $11K | — |
| Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? same side · consensus No | No $14K | — | — | No $384 |
| Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $13K | — | — | No $59 |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | Yes $5.8K | — | Yes $2.6K | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $4.5K | No $1.0K | — | — |