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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankKasonWongprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)54% (29–25, n=54)50% (1248–1260, n=2508)48% (17936–19365, n=37301)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$83K$3.6M$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #860PM monthly #48PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus83% (40 of 48 open)100% (6 of 6 open)78% (7 of 9 open)57% (54 of 94 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • NBA +51 pts n=17, ROI +50%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%92% of 25 at avg 50¢, ROI +52%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 100% of 1)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)36% (won 78% of 9)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)56% (won 100% of 14)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)4% (won 100% of 1)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankKasonWongprimmRN1
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $124K—Cardinals $5.6KSeahawks $969
Packers vs. Patriots
same side · consensus Packers
Packers $104K—Packers $52KPackers $3.4K
Texans vs. Chargers
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
Chargers $294K——Texans $6.8K
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $103K——76ers $910
Spread: Texans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
Chargers $100K——Texans $1.5K
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $13K——No $23K
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
——Cardinals $6.2KSeahawks $4.3K
Spread: Texans (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
Chargers $3.9K——Texans $1.5K
Spread: Seahawks (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
——Cardinals $1.7KSeahawks $2.3K
Cardinals vs. Seahawks: O/U 42.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.7KOver $1.2K
Packers vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $847Over $1.8K
Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
——Cardinals $206Seahawks $2.1K
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.0K—Over $161
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)
same side · consensus Patriots
Packers $143K——Packers $14