← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | omnibus-076daa | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 50% (14291–14380, n=28671) |
| Consensus PnL | $10.6M | $5.8M | $3.5M | $3.3M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #27 |
| Sides with the consensus | 74% (72 of 97 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | 51% (38 of 74 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 91% of 10843 at avg 60¢, ROI +32% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 8% (won 59% of 873) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 21% (won 86% of 2319) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 38% (won 94% of 4154) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 32% (won 99% of 3497) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | omnibus-076daa |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs vs. Broncos opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | Chiefs $465K | — | — | Broncos $687 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $272K | — | — | Yes $2.9K |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | Yes $77K | — | — | Yes $1.8K |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $73K | — | — | Yes $116 |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $28K | — | — | Yes $2.9K |