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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | e46m3 | txwd9991 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 96% (291–13, n=304) | 17% (155–754, n=909) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $8.4M | $536K | -$21K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #2 | was PM monthly #986 |
| Sides with the consensus | 79% (30 of 38 open) | 73% (313 of 428 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet | ||
| Weakest topic | — | Tech ±0 pts, n=36 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | 93% of 626 at avg 90¢, ROI +2% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 69% of 36) | 7% (won 11% of 46) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 97% of 116) | 1% (won 86% of 7) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 37% (won 99% of 124) | 1% (won 75% of 8) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 17% (won 100% of 56) | 90% (won 100% of 565) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.