← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ferrariChampions2026 | Haradwaith | joseph00677 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (616–869, n=1485) | 43% (11779–15353, n=27132) | 59% (28382–19413, n=47795) | 43% (10–13, n=23) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.4M | -$9.5M | -$476K | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #250 | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (30 of 34 open) | 56% (5 of 9 open) | 74% (443 of 596 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | Weather −6 pts, n=589 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 37% of 4101 at avg 40¢, ROI −2% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 56% (won 3% of 2296) | 12% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 4% (won 34% of 173) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 4% (won 49% of 168) | 65% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 36% (won 89% of 1464) | 18% (won 67% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | ferrariChampions2026 | Haradwaith | joseph00677 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? opposite sides · consensus No | No $425K | — | Yes $223 | — |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $69K | — | No $1.1K | — |
| Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? opposite sides · consensus No | No $15K | — | Yes $68 | — |
| Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $13K | — | No $371 | — |
| Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $28K | — | No $95 | — |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $24K | — | Yes $36 | — |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $19K | — | Yes $124 | — |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $484 | — | Yes $36 | — |