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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | god83743894 | joseph00677 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (546–663, n=1209) | 33% (3360–6935, n=10295) | 53% (10–9, n=19) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.2M | -$29K | $5.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #304 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (39 of 55 open) | 81% (247 of 305 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | Weather −7 pts, n=4652 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 29% of 7204 at avg 34¢, ROI −5% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 68% (won 1% of 4909) | 12% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 2% (won 38% of 146) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 3% (won 54% of 201) | 65% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 27% (won 96% of 1948) | 18% (won 67% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.