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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | god83743894 | joseph00677 | omnibus-076daa | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (549–663, n=1212) | 33% (3437–6989, n=10426) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 50% (14961–15011, n=29972) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.2M | -$31K | $5.6M | $3.0M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #290 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #60 |
| Sides with the consensus | 66% (25 of 38 open) | 79% (61 of 77 open) | no open consensus position | 57% (81 of 141 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | — | Weather −7 pts, n=4652 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 29% of 7204 at avg 34¢, ROI −5% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 92% of 11470 at avg 61¢, ROI +32% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 68% (won 1% of 4909) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 8% (won 60% of 899) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 2% (won 38% of 146) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 21% (won 87% of 2444) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 3% (won 54% of 201) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 39% (won 95% of 4418) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 27% (won 96% of 1948) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 32% (won 99% of 3709) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | god83743894 | joseph00677 | omnibus-076daa |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $2.9K | — | — | Yes $2.1K |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? opposite sides · consensus No | No $840 | — | — | Yes $149 |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $22K | — | — | Yes $117 |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $15K | — | — | Yes $215 |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $4.2K | — | — | Yes $418 |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.6K | — | — | Yes $69 |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1.0K | — | — | Yes $59 |
| Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus No | Yes $28 | — | — | Yes $41 |