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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | grinder1011 | RN1 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 43% (104–138, n=242) | 47% (14329–15967, n=30296) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.0M | $5.4K | $14.8M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #748 | PM monthly #18 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 70% (78 of 112 open) | 43% (33 of 77 open) | 57% (25 of 44 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Elections −10 pts, n=11 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 51% of 178 at avg 42¢, ROI +5% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 46% (won 13% of 82) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 12% (won 68% of 22) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 13% (won 74% of 23) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 29% (won 94% of 51) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | grinder1011 | RN1 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $3.6K | No $2.4K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $726 | Yes $522 | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $125K | No $3.4K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $93K | Yes $3.6K | — | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $28K | No $1.5K | — | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House same side · consensus No | Yes $1.4K | Yes $325 | — | — |