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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | RN1 | whig | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 47% (14018–15515, n=29533) | 62% (358–221, n=579) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.1M | $5.6M | $14.8M | $320K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #543 |
| Sides with the consensus | 39% (39 of 99 open) | no open consensus position | 60% (57 of 95 open) | 65% (13 of 20 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | Finance −7 pts, n=26 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 47% of 615 at avg 40¢, ROI +6% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 79% of 58) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 46% (won 13% of 280) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 200) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 17% (won 43% of 107) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 194) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 13% (won 82% of 78) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 24% (won 95% of 150) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | RN1 | whig |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | No $921K | — | — | Yes $3.0K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $247K | — | Pelicans $1.0K | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $44K | — | Pelicans $367 | — |
| Spread: Hawks (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | Hawks $202 | — | Pacers $113 | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $183K | — | — | Yes $6.1K |
| Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus No | Yes $35K | — | — | Yes $210 |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus No | Yes $31K | — | — | Yes $744 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House same side · consensus No | Yes $11K | — | — | Yes $4 |