Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankjoseph00677RN1zerone777
Record (consensus markets)45% (571–700, n=1271)53% (10–9, n=19)47% (13369–14864, n=28233)39% (440–685, n=1125)
Consensus PnL$9.4M$5.6M$14.8M$36K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #3PM monthly #29 + pinnedPM monthly #103
Sides with the consensus59% (17 of 29 open)no open consensus position60% (233 of 388 open)78% (335 of 429 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———Mentions −2 pts, n=47
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%39% of 335 at avg 40¢, ROI +7%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2538)56% (won 1% of 189)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5565)2% (won 38% of 8)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)65% (won 73% of 11)36% (won 99% of 9017)5% (won 61% of 18)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8250)36% (won 97% of 120)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankjoseph00677RN1zerone777
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $30K—Pelicans $125—
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $19K—Pelicans $135—
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $15K——No $2.3K
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $3.6K——No $2.0K
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.3K——No $143
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Celtics $880—Bucks $765—
Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $323—Pelicans $143—
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $765K——No $135
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
same side · consensus No
No $182K——No $49
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus No
No $12K——No $2.6K
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus No
No $1.0K——No $2.3K
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
same side · consensus Pacers
Grizzlies $357—Grizzlies $123—