← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | morito181 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 70% (709–303, n=1012) | 50% (20932–20600, n=41532) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $5.3M | $1.1M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #111 + pinned | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | 86% (24 of 28 open) | no open consensus position | 80% (142 of 177 open) | 70% (32 of 46 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | Mentions −13 pts, n=20 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 71% of 918 at avg 70¢, ROI +4% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 22% (won 6% of 202) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 5% (won 43% of 49) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 6% (won 53% of 55) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 67% (won 96% of 612) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | morito181 | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $63K | — | Yes $22K | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $48K | — | No $194 | — |