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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankprimmRN1xxNyx
Record (consensus markets)45% (572–710, n=1282)50% (1105–1116, n=2221)47% (14161–15670, n=29831)85% (1304–235, n=1539)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.6M$14.8M$90K
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #48PM monthly #32 + pinnedHand-picked
Sides with the consensus80% (28 of 35 open)50% (9 of 18 open)59% (44 of 75 open)94% (61 of 65 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic———Tech −1 pts, n=56
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%81% of 1887 at avg 79¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)13% (won 9% of 250)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)41% (won 99% of 412)22% (won 94% of 5682)5% (won 52% of 91)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)50% (won 99% of 503)35% (won 99% of 9181)6% (won 57% of 109)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)76% (won 97% of 1437)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankprimmRN1xxNyx
Spread: Jaguars (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $1.3KRavens $560Jaguars $174—
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $175K—Jaguars $2.6K—
Spread: Jaguars (-20.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
—Ravens $26KJaguars $19K—
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 30.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $12KOver $10K—
Spread: Jaguars (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $9.7KJaguars $7.1K—
Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $601—Jaguars $3.2K—
Spread: UTSA (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
—Florida Atlantic $2.4KUTSA $302—
Spread: James Madison (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Southern Miss
—James Madison $1.4KSouthern Miss $268—
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic
same side · consensus Florida Atlantic
—Florida Atlantic $41KFlorida Atlantic $21K—
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
same side · consensus Heat
Warriors $3.5K—Warriors $510—
Spread: Jaguars (-8.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $287—Ravens $2.8K—
Spread: Jaguars (-16.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
—Ravens $230Ravens $1.8K—
Spread: Jaguars (-13.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
—Ravens $1.1KRavens $654—
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 42.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $821Over $33——