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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | primm | S-Works | verifly | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 50% (1248–1261, n=2509) | 75% (2542–853, n=3395) | 34% (143–279, n=422) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.7M | $3.6M | $3.8M | -$339K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #44 | PM monthly #54 | was PM monthly #874 |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (29 of 35 open) | 50% (2 of 4 open) | 78% (7 of 9 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 | Esports −2 pts, n=408 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% | 35% of 413 at avg 36¢, ROI −4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 6% (won 14% of 145) | 32% (won 21% of 131) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 16% (won 48% of 367) | 55% (won 41% of 227) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 23% (won 60% of 509) | 13% (won 43% of 54) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) | 0% (won 0% of 1) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | primm | S-Works | verifly |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winner opposite sides · consensus T1 | — | — | Bilibili Gaming $744K | T1 $35 |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs opposite sides · consensus Bilibili Gaming | — | — | Bilibili Gaming $270K | T1 $42K |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 3 Winner opposite sides · consensus Bilibili Gaming | — | — | Bilibili Gaming $153K | T1 $43K |
| Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 46.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $1.3K | Over $21K | — | — |
| Spread: Bears (-6.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | Bears $12K | Bears $5.8K | — | — |