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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankprimmS-Workswhosay
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)50% (1244–1255, n=2499)75% (2542–853, n=3395)59% (1247–851, n=2098)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$3.6M$3.7M-$33K
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #56PM monthly #75PM monthly #801
Sides with the consensus80% (39 of 49 open)68% (13 of 19 open)50% (1 of 2 open)63% (5 of 8 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topic——Crypto −1 pts, n=46Tennis −3 pts, n=741
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%59% of 2333 at avg 60¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)5% (won 94% of 51)6% (won 14% of 145)11% (won 18% of 251)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)41% (won 99% of 421)16% (won 48% of 367)26% (won 36% of 603)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)49% (won 99% of 508)23% (won 60% of 509)28% (won 58% of 653)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)5% (won 100% of 47)55% (won 96% of 1235)35% (won 88% of 826)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankprimmS-Workswhosay
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $219KOver $13K——
Giants vs. Eagles
opposite sides · consensus Giants
Giants $179KEagles $713——
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $107KEagles $69——
Cowboys vs. Colts
same side · consensus Cowboys
Colts $114KColts $5.1K——