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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | primm | qinlaoban | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 50% (1248–1261, n=2509) | 48% (539–574, n=1113) | 48% (17938–19366, n=37304) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.7M | $3.6M | -$75K | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #46 | PM monthly #718 | PM monthly #32 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (29 of 35 open) | 60% (3 of 5 open) | 40% (2 of 5 open) | 57% (34 of 60 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 99% of 500 at avg 50¢, ROI +49% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 0% | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 48% (won 99% of 238) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 52% (won 99% of 262) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 0% | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | primm | qinlaoban | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Bears (-6.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | Bears $12K | Bears $5.8K | — | Bears $27K |
| Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 46.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $1.3K | Over $16K | — | — |
| Buccaneers vs. Bears opposite sides · consensus Bears | — | Buccaneers $1.5K | — | Bears $12K |
| Spread: Mavericks (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | — | — | Nets $41 | Mavericks $763 |
| Spread: Mavericks (-7.5) same side · consensus Mavericks | — | — | Mavericks $3.9K | Mavericks $1.7K |
| Spread: Mavericks (-8.5) same side · consensus Nets | — | — | Mavericks $3.6K | Mavericks $1.1K |
| Spread: Bears (-5.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | Bears $96 | — | — | Bears $877 |