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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankprimmrayvanmechelenRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)50% (1105–1117, n=2222)53% (2455–2184, n=4639)48% (14109–15586, n=29695)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.6M$14K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #46was PM monthly #981PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus81% (22 of 27 open)no open consensus position63% (45 of 72 open)63% (84 of 134 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Soccer +42 pts n=907, ROI +45%
  • NBA +50 pts n=19, ROI +50%
  • Tennis +47 pts n=19, ROI +42%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%98% of 988 at avg 56¢, ROI +45%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)5% (won 94% of 51)2% (won 95% of 22)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)41% (won 99% of 412)32% (won 98% of 321)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)50% (won 99% of 503)51% (won 98% of 507)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)5% (won 100% of 47)14% (won 98% of 138)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankprimmrayvanmechelenRN1
Villa Maria: Federico Coria vs Valerio Aboian
opposite sides · consensus Federico Coria
——Valerio Aboian $10Federico Coria $5.4K
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $3Over $234
FC Lugano vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $7Under $211
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
——Heat $2Warriors $143
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $17Under $13
Spread: FC Lugano (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Lugano
——FC Lugano $11FK Kauno Žalgiris $11
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)
same side · consensus KKS Lech Poznań
——Sport Lisboa e Benfica $10Sport Lisboa e Benfica $16K
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
——No $11No $11K
AZ vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $926Over $8.1K
Cali: Luisina Giovannini vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
——Bianca Andreescu $12Bianca Andreescu $5.8K
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
——No $927No $1.9K
Will K. Sint-Truidense VV win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $188Yes $462
Rīga FC vs. FK Jablonec: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $20Under $429
FC København vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $6Under $109
AZ vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
——No $4No $12