Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
AZ vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5
Resolved Over. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
30
Under 62%
$30.4K
$-7.2K
Smart Money Signal
18 of 30 top traders (60%)18 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 RN1 | Overavg 56.9¢ | $10.4K | $16.7K | +$6.4K | 53% 61386-53697 (115083) |
FL Flaznorp | Overavg 55.4¢ | $13.2K | $9.5K | +$2.6K | 51% 25776-24479 (50255) |
 rayvanmechelen | Overavg 55.2¢ | $1.0K | $1.8K | +$812.33 | 53% 2579-2265 (4844) |
LI Lilybaeum | Overavg 54.1¢ | $645.3 | $1.1K | +$503.65 | 61% 14368-9297 (23665) |
 nigiri99 | Overavg 55.2¢ | $312.12 | $565 | +$252.88 | 46% 8595-10246 (18841) |
LU LuckyLoo | Overavg 23.6¢ | $61.73 | $261.33 | +$199.59 | 49% 14716-15388 (30104) |
OM omnibus-076daaCTR | Underavg 44.3¢ | $11.1K | — | $-11.1K | 50% 21199-21466 (42665) |
CA Cannae | Overavg 53¢ | $131.31 | $183.82 | +$52.51 | 53% 16809-14937 (31746) |
TO topdogbigboi<$100 | Overavg 69.5¢ | $69.87 | $85.21 | +$15.34 | 47% 11740-13459 (25199) |
WA WagerWizard<$100 | Overavg 83.7¢ | $47.44 | $56.67 | +$9.23 | 84% 14866-2869 (17735) |
MA MadridTimeCTR | Underavg 47.9¢ | $959.15 | — | -$959.15 | 50% 1337-1318 (2655) |
 tradecraftCTR<$100 | Underavg 66.6¢ | $60.46 | — | -$60.46 | 51% 6358-6140 (12498) |
VE VenusianCTR | Underavg 40.7¢ | $313.48 | — | -$313.48 | 51% 1392-1360 (2752) |
38 38791873984189 | Overavg 56.7¢ | $1.2K | $34.37 | +$368.47 | 48% 61202-65999 (127201) |
LI LimousinCTR | Underavg 38.3¢ | $1.3K | — | $-1.3K | 53% 1439-1280 (2719) |
DA dashattackerCTR | Underavg 77.9¢ | $2.1K | — | $-2.1K | 73% 2977-1118 (4095) |
SM SmallcoinsCTR | Underavg 14.8¢ | $701 | — | -$678.71 | 53% 1203-1072 (2275) |
DI dips.CTR<$100 | Underavg 7.7¢ | $85.25 | — | -$38.23 | 47% 10635-12160 (22795) |
LI LightParadoxCTR | Underavg 47.5¢ | $1.1K | — | $-1.1K | 52% 1388-1305 (2693) |
PA Pan9XCTR | Underavg 23.3¢ | $213.98 | — | +$31.24 | 54% 9742-8135 (17877) |
 VeryLucky888CTR | Underavg 46¢ | $474.03 | — | -$459.51 | 58% 46718-33677 (80395) |
SE sentrio<$100 | Overavg 53¢ | $2.65 | $5 | +$2.4 | 50% 25837-25546 (51383) |
ZT ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoGCTR | Underavg 48¢ | $179.4 | — | -$179.4 | 58% 6738-4793 (11531) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Underavg 46¢ | $57.83 | — | -$57.83 | 50% 28445-28348 (56793) |
PA pauleta23CTR<$100 | Underavg 10.9¢ | $6.31 | — | -$6.31 | 66% 24278-12377 (36655) |
RN1Invested
$10,391.22
Value
$16.7K
PnL
+$6.4K
Record
53%
61386-53697 (115083)
Invested
$13,222.05
Value
$9.5K
PnL
+$2.6K
Record
51%
25776-24479 (50255)
rayvanmechelenInvested
$1,002.61
Value
$1.8K
PnL
+$812.33
Record
53%
2579-2265 (4844)
Invested
$645.3
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$503.65
Record
61%
14368-9297 (23665)
nigiri99Invested
$312.12
Value
$565
PnL
+$252.88
Record
46%
8595-10246 (18841)
Invested
$61.73
Value
$261.33
PnL
+$199.59
Record
49%
14716-15388 (30104)
Invested
$11,056.98
Value
—
PnL
$-11.1K
Record
50%
21199-21466 (42665)
Invested
$131.31
Value
$183.82
PnL
+$52.51
Record
53%
16809-14937 (31746)
Invested
$69.87
Value
$85.21
PnL
+$15.34
Record
47%
11740-13459 (25199)
Invested
$47.44
Value
$56.67
PnL
+$9.23
Record
84%
14866-2869 (17735)
Invested
$959.15
Value
—
PnL
-$959.15
Record
50%
1337-1318 (2655)
tradecraftCTR<$100Invested
$60.46
Value
—
PnL
-$60.46
Record
51%
6358-6140 (12498)
Invested
$313.48
Value
—
PnL
-$313.48
Record
51%
1392-1360 (2752)
Invested
$1,224.84
Value
$34.37
PnL
+$368.47
Record
48%
61202-65999 (127201)
Invested
$1,282.87
Value
—
PnL
$-1.3K
Record
53%
1439-1280 (2719)
Invested
$2,085.71
Value
—
PnL
$-2.1K
Record
73%
2977-1118 (4095)
Invested
$701
Value
—
PnL
-$678.71
Record
53%
1203-1072 (2275)
Invested
$85.25
Value
—
PnL
-$38.23
Record
47%
10635-12160 (22795)
Invested
$1,062.27
Value
—
PnL
$-1.1K
Record
52%
1388-1305 (2693)
Invested
$213.98
Value
—
PnL
+$31.24
Record
54%
9742-8135 (17877)
VeryLucky888CTRInvested
$474.03
Value
—
PnL
-$459.51
Record
58%
46718-33677 (80395)
Invested
$2.65
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.4
Record
50%
25837-25546 (51383)
Invested
$179.4
Value
—
PnL
-$179.4
Record
58%
6738-4793 (11531)
Invested
$57.83
Value
—
PnL
-$57.83
Record
50%
28445-28348 (56793)
Invested
$6.31
Value
—
PnL
-$6.31
Record
66%
24278-12377 (36655)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
RN1
Over — $16.7K
Flaznorp
Over — $9.5K
rayvanmechelen
Over — $1.8K
Lilybaeum
Over — $1.1K
nigiri99
Over — $565
LuckyLoo
Over — $261.33
omnibus-076daa
CTRUnder — $0
Cannae
Over — $183.82
topdogbigboi
Over — $85.21
WagerWizard
Over — $56.67