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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ChungvicularCORGIIBreakTheBankprimm
Record (consensus markets)51% (36–34, n=70)62% (393–245, n=638)45% (526–640, n=1166)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$35K$4.5M$10.6M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #985 + pinnedPM monthly #68PM monthly #1PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus57% (25 of 44 open)25% (1 of 4 open)74% (71 of 96 open)53% (9 of 17 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won43% of 105 at avg 34¢, ROI +2%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢57% (won 17% of 60)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 85% of 53)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢10% (won 45% of 11)56% (won 99% of 223)36% (won 98% of 192)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢18% (won 84% of 19)33% (won 100% of 133)35% (won 99% of 187)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up14% (won 93% of 15)2% (won 100% of 7)20% (won 100% of 107)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketChungvicularCORGIIBreakTheBankprimm
Chiefs vs. Broncos
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
——Chiefs $465KBroncos $6.8K
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.0K—Yes $37K—
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $893—No $35K—
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $201—Yes $272K—
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $728—Yes $4.6K—
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
Yes $1.0K—Yes $943—