← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ComingBack | beachboy4 | RN1 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 61% (3977–2523, n=6500) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 56% (101–79, n=180) |
| Consensus PnL | $74K | $5.8M | $13.4M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #974 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #373 |
| Sides with the consensus | 85% (17 of 20 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 66% (100 of 151 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Politics −6 pts, n=123 | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 73% of 7547 at avg 65¢, ROI +9% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 23% of 77) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 7% (won 75% of 8) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 23% (won 56% of 1748) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 26% (won 93% of 29) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 37% (won 67% of 2819) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 42% (won 96% of 47) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 38% (won 89% of 2903) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 24% (won 96% of 27) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ComingBack | beachboy4 | RN1 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Falcons vs. Buccaneers opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | Buccaneers $2.0K | — | Falcons $1.8K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | Cowboys $2.0K | — | Cardinals $714 | — |
| Raiders vs. Jets opposite sides · consensus Jets | Raiders $2.0K | — | Jets $192 | — |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys same side · consensus Cowboys | Cowboys $2.0K | — | Cowboys $11K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | Magic $4.6K | — | Magic $223 | — |