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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
DEGENKHANRN1sainttroplayprimm
Record (consensus markets)66% (601–304, n=905)48% (12930–14106, n=27036)71% (10–4, n=14)50% (986–968, n=1954)
Consensus PnL$92K$13.4M$4.4M$3.4M
Tracked asHand-pickedPM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #11PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus93% (87 of 94 open)46% (6 of 13 open)no open consensus position63% (5 of 8 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicNBA −1 pts, n=138———
Settled positions, side won68% of 1586 at avg 65¢, ROI +1%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢31% (won 7% of 493)10% (won 56% of 2534)0%5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢2% (won 49% of 35)22% (won 94% of 5497)50% (won 100% of 5)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢3% (won 61% of 44)36% (won 99% of 8897)50% (won 100% of 5)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up64% (won 98% of 1014)31% (won 100% of 7736)0%5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketDEGENKHANRN1sainttroplayprimm
Spread: Eagles (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
—Commanders $2.1K—Eagles $858
Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $664—Under $1.5K
Spread: Commanders (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
—Commanders $1.5K—Eagles $3
Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $491—Under $655
Spread: Commanders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
—Commanders $23—Eagles $412