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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Dimpled-Foal | RN1 | CORGII | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (201–199, n=400) | 48% (12851–13947, n=26798) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 45% (535–643, n=1178) |
| Consensus PnL | $59K | $13.4M | $4.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #893 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 63% (51 of 81 open) | 63% (5 of 8 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) | 71% (80 of 113 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 99% of 181 at avg 66¢, ROI +39% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 95% of 22) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 14% (won 100% of 25) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 21% (won 97% of 38) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 53% (won 100% of 96) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Dimpled-Foal | RN1 | CORGII | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $380 | — | — | No $36K |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $9 | — | — | Yes $36K |
| Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3 | — | — | Yes $86 |