← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | Haradwaith | ndb1 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (7602–6859, n=14461) | 60% (28307–19247, n=47554) | 64% (1097–630, n=1727) | 51% (28105–27112, n=55217) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.1M | -$473K | $4.8M | $1.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #223 | PM monthly #97 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 66% (99 of 151 open) | 70% (576 of 819 open) | 72% (108 of 149 open) | 64% (44 of 69 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | Weather −6 pts, n=589 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 37% of 4101 at avg 40¢, ROI −2% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 56% (won 3% of 2296) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 7% (won 99% of 2699) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 4% (won 34% of 173) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 20% (won 100% of 7974) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 4% (won 49% of 168) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 22% (won 100% of 8588) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 36% (won 89% of 1464) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 52% (won 100% of 20470) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
39 on the same side, 19 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.