← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | Haradwaith | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (7739–7030, n=14769) | 59% (28188–19249, n=47437) | 63% (1096–631, n=1727) | 48% (17938–19366, n=37304) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.1M | -$476K | $4.6M | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #223 | PM monthly #110 | PM monthly #25 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 69% (96 of 140 open) | 77% (423 of 552 open) | 73% (72 of 99 open) | 55% (35 of 64 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | Weather −6 pts, n=589 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 37% of 4101 at avg 40¢, ROI −2% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 56% (won 3% of 2296) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 4% (won 34% of 173) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 4% (won 49% of 168) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 36% (won 89% of 1464) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
29 on the same side, 19 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | Haradwaith | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $258 | No $346K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $13K | — | — | Over $1.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.5K | — | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Cardinals vs. Seahawks opposite sides · consensus Seahawks | Cardinals $121 | — | — | Seahawks $3.8K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $859 | — | — | Over $3.0K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.1K | — | — | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | — | — | Over $36 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $446 | — | — | Under $1.4K |
| Will CD Universidad de Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $1.2K | — | — | No $153 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | No $873 | — | — | Yes $315 |
| Spread: Pistons (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Pistons | Lakers $776 | — | — | Pistons $307 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $471 | — | — | No $524 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $837 | — | — | Yes $60 |
| Spread: Mavericks (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | Mavericks $499 | — | — | Nets $144 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $272 | — | — | No $11 |
| Will Will Anderson Jr. win the 2026 NFL Defensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $127 | Yes $37 | — |
| Will Benfica win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $127 | Yes $2 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $6 | — | — | Over $29 |
| Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $6 | — | — | Under $2 |
| Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? same side · consensus No | — | No $709 | No $82K | — |
| Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $594 | Yes $64K | — |
| Will O'Higgins FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | No $56K | — | — | No $4.8K |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? same side · consensus No | — | No $517 | No $54K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? same side · consensus No | — | No $677 | No $24K | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $14K | — | — | No $2.5K |
| Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | No $4.5K | — | — | No $3.7K |
| Spread: Pistons (-5.5) same side · consensus Pistons | Lakers $6.3K | — | — | Lakers $84 |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) same side · consensus Pistons | Lakers $4.1K | — | — | Lakers $569 |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) same side · consensus Lakers | Lakers $3.4K | — | — | Lakers $660 |
| Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $81 | Yes $1.7K | — |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111 | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $95 | — | — | Under $1.1K |
| Spread: Mavericks (-8.5) same side · consensus Nets | Mavericks $884 | — | — | Mavericks $228 |
| Spread: Pistons (-9.5) same side · consensus Lakers | Lakers $317 | — | — | Lakers $484 |
| Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5) same side · consensus Boluspor | Boluspor $751 | — | — | Boluspor $44 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $702 | — | — | Under $20 |
| Spread: Pistons (-1.5) same side · consensus Pistons | Pistons $612 | — | — | Pistons $60 |
| Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $71 | Yes $571 | — |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $253 | Yes $353 | — |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $173 | — | — | Yes $240 |
| Will Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League? same side · consensus No | — | No $84 | No $170 | — |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Will Brighton & Hove Albion win the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League Championship? same side · consensus No | — | No $111 | No $129 | — |
| Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $213 | Yes $20 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $177 | — | — | Under $41 |
| Will Málaga be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga? same side · consensus No | — | No $69 | No $12 | — |
| Will Jahmyr Gibbs be the highest-scoring RB of the 2026-27 NFL season? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $71 | No $8 | — |
| Exact Score: Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 0 De Graafschap? same side · consensus No | No $4 | — | — | No $26 |