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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | Haradwaith | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 52% (6520–6024, n=12544) | 40% (3385–5153, n=8538) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $3.5M | -$465K | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #23 | PM monthly #279 | PM monthly #105 |
| Sides with the consensus | 86% (24 of 28 open) | 70% (302 of 429 open) | 70% (383 of 548 open) | 74% (81 of 110 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | Weather −6 pts, n=556 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 39% of 3845 at avg 42¢, ROI −2% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 53% (won 3% of 2055) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 4% (won 35% of 170) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 5% (won 54% of 178) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 38% (won 89% of 1442) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
15 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.